The Biden administration has passed landmark legislations such as the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and the CHIPS and Science Act, which provide subsidies in clean energy and semiconducto. Trade Representative Katherine Tai speaks in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, DC, on May 17, 2022. Is Weiss correct? Join FP’s Ravi Agrawal for a frank discussion about the Biden administration’s China policy and alternatives that it ought to consider. Is the Biden administration’s China policy too hawkish? And how might that be impacting the world? Jessica Chen Weiss, formerly a senior advisor for policy planning at the State Department under the Biden administration, makes the case that the United States is becoming consumed by competition with China, a strategy that could lead to dangerous conflict. Show more up as tough on Beijing, even seeking to contain the rise of the world’s second-biggest economy. For its part, Washington has made a series of policy choices over the last few years that can be summed. Relations between the United States and China seem to be getting frostier by the day. Only FP subscribers can submit questions for FP Live interviews. So Americans may indeed be from Mars and Europeans from Venus - just not for the reason you thought. "Realizing that, for other states, there’s a different mindset - this could contribute to some better understanding among the Western states" of how each approaches international bad guys, Wagner notes. Wagner and Onderco say their research shows that how countries behave toward states like Iran is part and parcel of the same cultural differences that have produced Germany’s strong social safety net and America’s strict drug laws. Meanwhile, countries that believe in "restorative" justice - avoiding punishment that doesn’t help reincorporate the convicted into society or address the underlying factors behind crimes - will be more accommodating toward the world’s scofflaws. Countries with a culture of "retributive" justice - focused on punishing wrongdoing and protecting the public - will pursue more belligerent policies toward states like Iran and North Korea. Why should strict pursuit of law and order at home translate into foreign policy? Wagner and Onderco argue that it is a matter of cultural norms transferring across arenas. The same relationship held when the researchers looked at states’ approaches to North Korea. The more people behind bars, the more confrontational a state was likely to be. Rather, they found a relationship between a country’s level of aggression toward Iran - how hostile it might be in public statements, for instance, or how intently it might advocate for sanctions - and the percentage of that state’s population in prison. They found that martial power only played a slight role in making a state more confrontational and that increased trade did not, for the most part, make countries put on kid gloves. The researchers compared that behavior with various factors, from military strength to economic interdependence, that might influence how one state treats another. Wagner and Onderco looked at the behavior of 34 democracies toward Iran from 2002, when the country’s nuclear program became public, through 2009. They found that martial power only played a slight role in making a state more confrontational and that increased trade did not, for the most part, make countries put on kid gloves.Ī study by Amsterdam-based political scientists Wolfgang Wagner and Michal Onderco found that how countries treat criminals at home helps predict how they will deal with "deviance" on the global stage - particularly by so-called rogue states. Wagner and Onderco looked at the behavior of 34 democracies toward Iran from 2002, when the country's nuclear program became public, through 2009. However, new research indicates that a better predictor lies in an unlikely place: domestic courts and prisons.Ī study by Amsterdam-based political scientists Wolfgang Wagner and Michal Onderco found that how countries treat criminals at home helps predict how they will deal with "deviance" on the global stage - particularly by so-called rogue states. Kagan wrote, "Americans are from Mars and Europeans are from Venus." What explains the difference? In 2002, scholar Robert Kagan argued that the dove-hawk divide was a function of a disparity in military might: Because the United States remained a great power even as European defense budgets shrank, it was more likely to flex its muscles. Despite its recent efforts at negotiation, the United States traditionally has been more confrontational in its approach to Iran than European countries, which have urged closer ties with Tehran.
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